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Wednesday, October 28, 2026Wrenfield Coffee · Alex Morgan ·
New Customers agent
New Customers agent · Google Ads, Meta · At work
Running
Google Ads and Meta · gift sets

Roast date vs “small batch”, gift sets

“People buying a gift respond more to how fresh the coffee is than to how it's made.”

Where it stands

Roast date is ahead, 87% confident after 8 full days. The call comes at the planned end, Nov 2, and needs 95%.

Day 9 of 14Oct 20 – Nov 2

The versions

VersionClicksFirst ordersRatevs currentConfidence
Small batchCurrent version
“Small-batch coffee, roasted with care.”
410225.4%——
Roast dateLeading
“Roasted Monday, at your door by Thursday.”
400297.2%+35%87%

Confidence is against the current version. The upright mark is the 95% a version needs at the planned end to be called the winner; before then it is a reading.

First orders per click, cumulative
0%5%10%
Oct 20Oct 28

Set-up

Where
Google Ads and Meta · gift sets
Split
Half of traffic to each
Measured on
First orders per click
Planned length
14 days
Started
Oct 20
How experiments are judged
  • The current version always runs alongside the challengers, so results are compared fairly.
  • A test is called once, at its planned end: a version wins only at 95% confidence or more, with at least 20 conversions in every version.
  • Before the planned end, a lead can still reverse, however strong it looks, so the test isn't called early.
  • If nothing clears the bar at the planned end, the current version stays.
All experiments for this desk