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Wednesday, October 28, 2026Wrenfield Coffee · Alex Morgan ·
New customers desk
New Customers agent · Google Ads, Meta · At work

Experiments

How experiments are judged
  • The current version always runs alongside the challengers, so results are compared fairly.
  • A test is called once, at its planned end: a version wins only at 95% confidence or more, with at least 20 conversions in every version.
  • Before the planned end, a lead can still reverse, however strong it looks, so the test isn't called early.
  • If nothing clears the bar at the planned end, the current version stays.

Running now · 2

Running
Google Ads and Meta · gift sets

Roast date vs “small batch”, gift sets

People buying a gift respond more to how fresh the coffee is than to how it's made.

Day 9 of 14Oct 20 – Nov 2

Reading so far: Roast date ahead · 87% confident

  • Small batch · current5.4%
  • Roast date7.2%
Running
Product pages, all paid traffic

Free-shipping bar on product pages

Showing how close a cart is to free shipping will lift first orders without lowering the average order.

Day 3 of 21Oct 26 – Nov 15

Too early to call

  • No bar · current4.8%
  • Free-shipping bar6.0%

Finished · 1

Winner found
Google Ads and Meta · every product line

Roast-date messages for coffee

New customers care more about how fresh the coffee is than about how it's made.

Ran 14 daysOct 7 – Oct 20

Roast dates won: 37% more first orders per click, 95% confident. For brewing gear alone there was no difference.

  • Small batch · current3.6%
  • Roast date5.0%